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MKT
Watchlist
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| Instrument | Last | Chg | % | Range | 30d |
|---|
MAC
Macro / rates monitor
FRED
| UST 2Y | —% | — |
| UST 10Y | —% | — |
| 10Y REAL (TIPS) | —% | — |
| 10Y BREAKEVEN | —% | — |
| FED TARGET (UPPER) | —% | — |
| USD BROAD INDEX | — | — |
Regime read
Core PCE YoY
3.41%
14-month high, re-accelerating
Headline CPI YoY
3.46%
Above target, sticky services
Fed target (upper)
3.75%
Below 2Y — market pricing a hike
Gold vs Jan-26 peak
-24.5%
Peak 5,318 → drawdown regime
Real 10Y since Jan
+47bp
Primary drag on bullion
Hike prob (2Y-implied)
~60%
2Y 4.31% vs 3.75% target
Gold sensitivities
| 2Y UST yield | -0.023 | % gold per +1bp | R²0.41 |
| 10Y TIPS real yield | -0.031 | % gold per +1bp | R²0.58 |
| DXY | -0.62 | % gold per +1% DXY | R²0.47 |
| 10Y breakeven | 0.048 | % gold per +1bp | R²0.22 |
CRY
Crypto board
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| Asset | Price | 24h | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loading crypto feed… | |||
TV
Live news TV
Connecting to feed…
BLOOMBERG · direct live feed (muted by default)OPEN ↗
CHT
GC=F — price action
——SYNC
KEY LEVELSSUP 3986 / 3900 / 3855RES 4115 / 4147 / 4300
Scenario deskAUTO · REGIME
RGM
Regime scorecard — gold
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AWAITING DATA—composite −1…+1
| Driver | Reading | Wt | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
10Y real yield — level Gold's discount rate. Above ~2.2% is a structural headwind. | — | 2 | — |
10Y real yield — 1m change Direction matters more than level over a swing horizon. | — | 2 | — |
UST 2Y — 1m change Front end prices the cut/hike path. | — | 1.5 | — |
10Y breakeven — 1m change Rising inflation expectations are a gold tailwind. | — | 1 | — |
Dollar index — 1m change Beta of roughly −0.6% gold per +1% USD. | — | 1.5 | — |
Net liquidity — 1m change SOMA − TGA − RRP. Expanding liquidity supports hard assets. | — | 1.5 | — |
Credit appetite (HY/IG) — 1m Widening spreads push safe-haven bids into bullion. | — | 0.75 | — |
VIX level Stress bid — but extreme spikes force liquidation selling. | — | 0.75 | — |
Spec positioning percentile Contrarian: crowded longs cap upside, washed-out longs fuel squeezes. | — | 1 | — |
Weighted composite of the drivers with the highest historical explanatory power for bullion. Recomputes every 15 minutes off the live rates, liquidity and positioning tape.
LIQ
Liquidity & flows monitor
SYNC
Net liquidity (SOMA − TGA − RRP)—
—
Rising net liquidity historically supports gold, equities and crypto; draining liquidity tightens funding, widens credit spreads and pressures risk assets first.
| Series | Level | 1m | 3m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loading liquidity series… | |||
Green = flow adds liquidity to markets · red = flow removes it. TGA and RRP drain cash from the banking system when they rise; the SOMA portfolio adds it. Sources: NY Fed markets API, US Treasury daily statement, Yahoo.
GLOBE
World monitor
0 events · 15mLIVE
- Scanning global feeds…
TV
TradingView — public gold analysis
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No public gold ideas in the current TradingView feed — refreshes every 15 minutes.
AI
TDG AI Bot — macro analyst
LIVE DATA
Ask anything about positioning, the macro regime, or a specific trade. TDG AI Bot reads live gold, DXY, yields, breakevens and the 169-event FOMC study before answering, and it remembers the thread so you can drill in.
Gold / FOMC
Regime
Learn
Liquidity / flows
Stocks outlook
Crypto
FX / energy
Plan my trade
NEWS
Global news wall
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CAL
Economic calendar
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Times shown in your local timezone · forecast / previous on the right.